Cover Osteuropa 7/2021

In Osteuropa 7/2021

On the Third Cold War

Sergej Karaganov

Deutsche Fassung


The First Cold War began with the October Revolution and ended with the Second World War. The USSR lost the Second Cold War. Now, a new Cold War is underway. The West is struggling against the redistribution of resources and human capital. Russia’s prospects for winning this conflict are good. The Western ideology of human rights and rule of law is becoming less convincing. Liberal democracy is in crisis. Russia can prove that its authoritarian order is superior. It has restored its ability to wage war and has raw materials at its disposal in Siberia. The geopolitical environment is positive. The most important source of support is China. And Russia’s elites and citizens are convinced that they are on the right side morally. To win the Third Cold War, Russia will need an all-out national effort and an offensive ideology.

(Osteuropa 7/2021, pp. 15–27)