Russia’s War against Ukraine
Weekly Reports Autumn 2024
Deutsche Fassung
Abstract
The situation on the front has changed dramatically since the end of August. The most important events have been the fall of Vuhledar and Selydove, Biden’s basic approval of longer-range missiles that can also hit targets in Russia’s interior, the transfer to Russia of North Korean soldiers, who have so far remained barely visible, and Putin’s deployment of a mysterious intercontinental ballistic missile. The fighting is mainly taking place around Pokrovs'k, Kurachove, Kupians'k and in the Kursk region. Russia has succeeded in expanding its weapons production, but Kyiv is also producing new weapons of its own. Ukraine can organise counterattacks, prevent breakthroughs, or hit Russian ammunition depots and arms factories. Overall, however, Kyiv lost more territory in the autumn than it has in a long time. One important reason is the problem of mobilisation. New encirclements of important Ukrainian towns and breakthroughs are imminent.
(Osteuropa 11-12/2024, pp. 99–172)