Bellicose Unrest
Fear and Unrest in Armenia
Deutsche Fassung
Abstract
Almost a year after the expulsion of Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia is still under massive pressure. The violent end to the conflict over the exclave may well have increased the possibility of a settlement with Azerbaijan. The government of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is seeking such a compromise. But the autocratic regime in Baku continues to act aggressively and is constantly putting forward new demands. Even if it comes to a compromise, there is no one to guarantee the agreement. The former security guarantor Russia is having a destabilising effect, the EU is paralysed and toothless, and the United States is acting with restraint. The desperate situation is leading to social tensions. A protest movement has formed against the government. The fears of the protest movement are justified, it has no solutions, and radical slogans worsen the situation.
(Osteuropa 5/2024, pp. 21–31)